Director, US Forecasting & Analytics– Vaccines & Immune Therapies

Director, US Forecasting & Analytics – Vaccines & Immune Therapies (V&I) Wilmington, DE Global Insights, Analytics & Forecasting, BBUHybrid Work- on average 3 days a week from officeThe Director is a senior commercial insights leader responsible for US demand forecasting and analytics across the Vaccines and Immune Therapies portfolio. The role is predominantly forecast-focused, serving as the US forecasting lead and strategic thought partner to Marketing, Finance, Market Access, and US teams. The position also includes vendor management and forecasting adjacent analytics leadership to ensure the effective deployment of analytical resources and continuous evolution of forecasting and insight capabilities within V&I. Time allocation may vary by business cycle and portfolio <priorities.You>'ll play a critical role in shaping commercial expectations, risk and opportunity framing, and executive decision-making for in-market and late-stage pipeline vaccines and immune therapies.What you'll do US Forecasting Leadership (Core Accountability)Lead US short-term and long-term demand forecasts (TRx, NBRx, volume, patients, revenue) for V&I assets using robust, patient-based and market-based modelsOwn forecast methodology, assumptions, and governance, ensuring objectivity, transparency, and consistency with enterprise standardsIntegrate primary market research, epidemiology, competitive intelligence, access dynamics, and real-world data into forecast modelsProactively identify and quantify key risks and opportunities through scenario and sensitivity analysesPartner closely with Finance, Market Access & Pricing, Marketing, Sales, Medical, and Global Forecasting to ensure alignment on assumptions and implicationsSupport business planning, governance reviews, and opportunity assessments with clear, executive-ready narrativesServe as a trusted advisor to senior marketing and finance leadership, clearly articulating forecast drivers and changesAnalytics & Resource Leadership (Enablement)Provide leadership over forecasting-adjacent analytics, ensuring advanced analytics and insights are embedded into forecasting and business planningManage and prioritize internal analysts, contractors, and external vendors supporting forecasting and analytics deliverablesPartner with data analytics resources, Global IA&F, and GIBEX capability teams to deploy new tools, data sources, and modeling approachesChampion and identify new ways to embed AI and automation into the practice of data analytics and forecasting to drive efficiency, scalability, and decision qualityChampion continuous improvement in forecasting processes, AI-enabled modeling, and automationContribute to the development and sharing of best practices across the V&I forecasting communityEssential for the roleBachelor’s degree in a quantitative, scientific, or business-related field (e.g., Statistics, Economics, Mathematics, Engineering, Computer/Data Science)8+ years’ experience in US pharmaceutical commercial forecasting, including in-market and late-stage pipeline assetsHands-on model ownership experience (build, refresh, and performance tracking) across short- and long-term horizonsExpertise in scenario-based forecasting, sensitivity analysis, and driver-based narratives to support senior decision makingStrong capability integrating multiple data types (e.g., IQVIA, claims, epidemiology, RWD/RWE, primary research) into coherent, decision grade forecastsKnowledge of advanced analytics/ML approaches (e.g., time series, causal inference, ensembles) vs. traditional methodsFluency in modern analytics tooling and automation (e.g., Python/R/SQL, BI/visualization), with ability to partner with data engineering and analytics teamsDemonstrated forecast governance and model risk discipline (traceable assumptions, documentation, and clear explanations)Strong understanding of US market access and payer dynamics and how they impact demand (coverage, contracting, channel, policy)Ability to translate complex analysis into clear, executive-ready insights, options, and recommendationsStrong commercial competence across key demand levers (positioning, adoption, competitive dynamics, lifecycle events)Desirable for the roleAdvanced degree (e.g., MBA, MS, PhD in Statistics, Economics, Decision Sciences, Data Science, or related field).Vaccines and/or Rare Disease experience, including familiarity with immunization dynamics, patient-based forecasting, and lifecycle management in preventive or immune-mediated therapies Change leadership: builds adoption for new tools, processes, and ways of working across cross-functional stakeholdersProduct perspective for forecasting: defines user needs, success metrics, and a roadmap for portfolio forecasting capabilitiesModel lifecycle practices (e.g., reproducibility, versioning, monitoring/drift awareness); familiarity with MLOps conceptsOffice Working Requirements When we put unexpected teams in the same room, we unleash bold thinking with the power to inspire life-changing medicines. In-person working gives us the platform we need to connect, work at pace and challenge perceptions. That’s why we work, on average, a minimum of three days per week from the office. But that doesn’t mean we’re not flexible. We balance the expectation of being in the office while respecting individual flexibility. Join us in our unique and ambitious world.#LI-HybridDate Posted05-Aug-2026Closing Date18-Aug-2026Our mission is to build an inclusive environment where equal employment opportunities are available to all applicants and employees. In furtherance of that mission, we welcome and consider applications from all qualified candidates, regardless of their protected characteristics. If you have a disability or special need that requires accommodation, please complete the corresponding section in the application form.