E T Consultant

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The Office of the Chief Economic Adviser for Climate (KTCCA), within the World Bank Group’s Planet Vice Presidency, provides intellectual leadership on climate economics and supports the strengthening of analytical approaches that integrate climate and development objectives across country diagnostics and operations. KTCCA contributes to the development and application of economic methodologies used in core corporate processes, including Country Climate and Development Reports (CCDRs), Long-Term Strategies (LTS), Paris Alignment assessments, and climate finance engagement. This work draws on a range of macroeconomic and sectoral analytical frameworks used across the institution, including dynamic CGE models, macro-fiscal tools, and policy assessment instruments. As country engagements increasingly require linking sectoral transition pathways with economy-wide implications, there is a need to ensure greater analytical consistency between sector models and macroeconomic frameworks. Sectoral tools provide granular projections of investment needs, technology deployment, and emissions trajectories, while macroeconomic models assess growth, fiscal, employment, and distributional effects. However, approaches to connecting these analytical layers remain heterogeneous across countries. This assignment will support the development of a more systematic and operational framework to link sectoral transition roadmaps, initially focusing on the energy sector, with macroeconomic models. The objective is to strengthen the analytical coherence of CCDRs, LTS processes, and climate finance discussions, particularly in engagements with Ministries of Finance. Scope of Work: The consultant will support the development of three strategic workstreams: 1/ Development of a Structured Sectoral–Macro Coupling Framework • Review and assess existing coupling approaches across countries (including India and other pilot cases). • Define and formalize a transparent “translation layer” between sectoral model outputs (investment paths, energy prices, imports, productivity shifts) and macroeconomic model inputs. • Develop a structured shock design framework, including: • Investment financing structures • Relative price effects • Productivity and sectoral reallocation assumptions • External balance and import dependence • Public debt and fiscal implications • Develop guidelines ensuring replicability and scalability across countries. • Contribute to drafting and consolidating the methodological paper under the supervision of the Chief Economic Adviser. This work will draw on operational experience with the Electricity Planning Model (EPM) and the MANAGE macroeconomic framework, including the structured EPM–MANAGE coupling methodology being developed within the team, and will seek to formalize this approach for replication across country contexts. 2/ Contribution to the LTS Program – Macroeconomic Components • Provide analytical support to the LTS work program, with a focus on strengthening the integration of macroeconomic components into sectoral transition analysis used in NDC and LTS processes. • Review and enhance linkages between sectoral modeling frameworks and macroeconomic tools. 3/ Climate–Finance and Ministries of Finance Engagement • Prepare concise analytical inputs for engagement with Ministries of Finance and the Coalition of Finance Ministers, translating sectoral transition pathways into macro-fiscal implications. • The consultant will also lead technical dialogues with government counterparts — including Ministries of Finance and energy sector agencies — translating modeling outputs into policy-facing narratives and supporting countries in interpreting and applying results within their national planning processes. • Support the integration of climate investment pathways into fiscal and debt sustainability discussions within country engagements. Deliverables • Draft methodological paper, including: • Formalization of the translation layer • Structured shock design framework • Case study illustration • Policy implications • Operational analytical contributions, including country-level GHG emissions assessments, inputs to Country Climate and Development Reports (CCDRs) and Development Policy Operations (DPOs), and calibrated macro-energy modeling tools (e.g., MACC, climate damage functions within MANAGE) for use in country-specific engagements.